Securing the Peace (ebook)

Argumento de Securing the Peace (ebook)

"Using comprehensive data on internal conflicts, Toft challenges the flawed assumptions driving international peacemaking diplomacy and peacekeeping operations, which sadly may be prolonging civil wars instead of ending them. This provocative and politically incorrect book ought to stimulate a long-needed debate over the efficacy of current approaches to ending conflicts."--Andrew Natsios, Georgetown University

"This well-researched book makes an incredibly important contribution to our understanding of civil war termination and recurrence. While we have known for some time that military victory leads to more decisive and lasting cessations of violence, it was not clear why. Toft addresses these questions and persuasively demonstrates that the key to long-lasting peace lies in the reform of the security sector."--Stephen Saideman, McGill University

"An impressive book, Securing the Peace breaks new ground in the important area of civil war settlements. Toft reaches new and counterintuitive conclusions based on the analysis of quantitative data and case studies, and brings us forward in our understanding of this critical issue."--Roy Licklider, Rutgers University

"In her provocative study, Toft examines the outcomes of all civil war terminations since 1940 with the goal of developing a general theory of post-civil-war stability."--Choice

"Securing the Peace offers an analysis that is as bold as it is persuasive. Toft teaches us that negotiated settlement should not be treated as the default option for resolving civil wars. Scholars and policymakers will find this to be a lucid, compelling, and important lesson. Peacemakers, who may inadvertently prolong the very wars they seek to resolve, will ignore this warning at their peril."--Ron E. Hassner, Perspectives on Politics

"Overall, the author develops a compelling argument and presents clear causal mechanisms that help explain what differentiates those civil wars that reoccur from those that do not. . . . Securing the Peace provides a thorough and engrossing look at the causes of post-conflict stability and has original and important implications for both empirical research and policymaking."--Richard Frank, Political Science Quarterly0List of Tables and Illustrations ix
Preface xi
Chapter 1. Introduction: Civil War Termination in Historical
and Theoretical Context 1
Chapter 2. Civil War Termination in Perspective 19
Chapter 3. Securing the Peace: Mutual Benefi t, Mutual Harm 39
Chapter 4. Statistical Analysis of War Recurrence and Longer- Term Outcomes 53
Chapter 5. El Salvador: A Successful Negotiated Settlement 70
Chapter 6. Uganda: Rebel Victory Begets Stability 96
Chapter 7. The Republic of Sudan: A Collapsed Negotiated Settlement 116
Chapter 8. The Republic of Sudan: Prospects for Peace 130
Chapter 9. Conclusion 150
Appendix 163
Notes 175
Bibliography 207
Index 223