When engaging with other countries, the U.S. government has a number of different policy instruments at its disposal, including foreign aid, international trade, and the use of military force. But what determines which policies are chosen? Does the United States rely too much on the use of military power and coercion in its foreign policies? Sailing the Waterâs Edge focuses on how domestic U.S. politicsâin particular the interactions between the president, Congress, interest groups, bureaucratic institutions, and the publicâhave influenced foreign policy choices since World War II and shows why presidents have more control over some policy instruments than others. Presidential power matters and it varies systematically across policy instruments.
Helen Milner and Dustin Tingley consider how Congress and interest groups have substantial material interests in and ideological divisions around certain issues and that these factors constrain presidents from applying specific tools. As a result, presidents select instruments that they have more control over, such as use of the military. This militarization of U.S. foreign policy raises concerns about the nature of American engagement, substitution among policy tools, and the future of U.S. foreign policy. Milner and Tingley explore whether American foreign policy will remain guided by a grand strategy of liberal internationalism, what affects American foreign policy successes and failures, and the role of U.S. intelligence collection in shaping foreign policy. The authors support their arguments with rigorous theorizing, quantitative analysis, and focused case studies, such as U.S. foreign policy in Sub-Saharan Africa across two presidential administrations.
Sailing the Waterâs Edge examines the importance of domestic political coalitions and institutions on the formation of American foreign policy.
Helen V. Milner is the B.C. Forbes Professor of Politics and International Affairs at Princeton University. Her books include Votes, Vetoes, and the Political Economy of International Trade Agreements and Interests, Institutions, and Information (both Princeton). Dustin Tingley is professor of government at Harvard University.
Winners of the 2016 Gladys M. Kammerer Award, American Political Science Association
"Foreign policy is notoriously resistant to theorizing. In Sailing the Waterâs Edge, Milner and Tingley make a significant advancement by generating and testing arguments about domestic constraints that explain why presidents choose to deploy various policy instruments. Rich in careful reasoning and data, this book will be the focus of the field for years to come."--Robert Jervis, author of American Foreign Policy in a New Era
"This is the most important book on U.S. foreign policy in decades. Milner and Tingley show decisively how domestic politics shape the choice of policy instruments, and why this matters for the nature and content of U.S. foreign relations. Synthetic and pathbreaking at the same time, Sailing the Waterâs Edge explodes the distinctions between high and low and domestic and international politics."--David A. Lake, University of California, San Diego
"Foreign policy is supposed to be a bundle of carrots and sticks that presidents can deploy at their discretion, depending on the nature of the adversary and the strategic game being played. Milner and Tingley stand this image on its head, suggesting that a decision to use sanctions or military force rather than trade or aid can equally be determined by a particular domestic distribution of interests. The policy implications of this book are likely to be felt for decades to come."--Anne-Marie Slaughter, president and CEO of New America
"In contrast to standard international relations accounts, which consider foreign policy to be driven by international factors, Milner and Tingley contend that domestic politics plays a major role in foreign policy decisions, and that certain foreign policy tools have major consequences domestically. Their book presents an original and provocative argument and substantiates it with a myriad of impressive new evidence."--James Raymond Vreeland, Georgetown University
"An engaging look at how politics between institutions within the United States shapes American foreign policy, Sailing the Waterâs Edge brings together an incredibly wide array of examples and sources, while covering a tremendous breadth of empirical ground. An important and welcome contribution to international relations, this book will be widely read."--Jon Pevehouse, University of WisconsinâMadison
List of Figures ix
Preface xi
1 INTRODUCTION 1
Motivation and Focus1
Core Contributions 6
What Is Foreign Policy? 7
Presidential Power in Foreign Policy 10
Overview of Our Theory 18
Implications for US Foreign Policy 21
Organization of the Book 27
Conclusion 30
2 A THEORY OF PRESIDENTIAL POWER AND US FOREIGN POLICY 33
Foreign Policy Instruments 35
Distributive Politics and US Foreign Policy 39
Political Ideology and the Extent of Ideological Divisions over US Foreign Policy 56
Connecting to Policy Substitution 67
Hypotheses: Presidential Influence and the Characteristics of Policy Instruments 69
Alternative Explanations 71
Conclusion 74
3 FOLLOW THE SAND DOLLARS:
Interest Groups and American Foreign Policy Instruments 77
What Are Interest Groups and What Do They Do? 82
Testimony and Lobbying Data about Interest Groups across Foreign Policy Instruments 83
Interest Groups and International Engagement 85
Who Gets Lobbied? 104
Conclusion 119
4 FROM THE FLOOR TO THE SHORE:
Budget Politics and Roll Call Voting on US Foreign Policy 121
When Do Presidents Get the Budgets They Request? 123
The Voting-Legislating Connection 129
Conclusion 153
5 CONTROLLING THE SAND CASTLE:
The Design and Control of US Foreign Policy Agencies 157
Institutional Design 159
Analyzing Bureaucratic Control 162
Case Studies 168
Implications for Substitution 180
Conclusion 182
6 THE VIEW FROM THE PUBLIC BEACH:
Presidential Power and Substitution in American Public Opinion 185
Public Opinion and Foreign Policy 186
Chapter Outline 188
The Role of the President: Information and Impact 189
Ideological Divisions and Substitution across Foreign Policy Instruments 196
Conclusion 206
7 AMERICAN FOREIGN POLICY TOWARD SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA, 1993â2009:
A Case Study of Policy Instrument Politics and Substitution 209
Sub-Saharan Africa Policy (1993â2001): The Clinton Years 212
Sub-Saharan Africa Policy during the George W Bush Administration (2001â2009) 234
Conclusion 252
8 CONCLUSIONS 255
Our Argument and Findings 255
Important Implications for IR Theory 263
Domestic Politics, Foreign Policy, Polarization, and Bipartisanship 266
How Does Our Argument Apply to Other Countries? 267
Limitations and Future Research 269
Implications for American Foreign Policy 272
Works Cited 285
Index 319